XRP Holds $1.30 but $1.26 Support Looks Fragile
FxRoy
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October 25, 2026
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XRP pushed back above $1.30 overnight, but the move has the feel of a temporary reprieve rather than a fresh leg higher.
Whale Counts Drop While Exchange Balances Rise
Wallet data shows large holders have been trimming positions for several sessions. That shift often precedes heavier selling once retail flows turn. At the same time, coins sitting on exchanges have ticked higher, a classic sign that some of those tokens could hit the order book soon.
Traders noticed it first.
The combination matters because XRP has spent much of the past month leaning on whale accumulation for support. When that support eases and exchange supply grows, downside probes tend to follow quickly.
ETF Inflows Have Gone Quiet
Earlier hopes around spot ETF launches drove a sharp bid into XRP. Those flows have since dried up. Without fresh institutional buying, the token is left reacting to broader risk sentiment and Bitcoin’s own swings.
That’s left the pair vulnerable to any negative headline or sudden move in the majors. Correlation with Bitcoin remains tight, and a drop below key BTC levels would likely drag XRP lower in sympathy.
The $1.26 Line Traders Are Watching
Analysts have flagged $1.26 as the level that could trigger the next move. A clean break lower would open the door to a test of the $1.15-$1.18 zone seen earlier in the quarter. Holding above it keeps the recent range intact for now.
Volume on the downside attempts has been modest, which suggests sellers are not yet fully committed. Still, the lack of aggressive buying on the rebound tells its own story.
What Comes Next for Positioning
Traders sitting long will want to see a decisive reclaim of $1.35 before adding to positions. Those already short the dips are likely to keep stops just above the recent high. The next few sessions of order flow around $1.26 should clarify whether this rebound has legs or simply sets up another leg lower.
If the data holds, we might see another probe of that support before the week is out. There’s no guarantee this trend continues — watch your position sizing here.